π node [[2022 08 10]]
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[[rob haisfield]]
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reported issues with [[obsidian embeds]]
- documented them
- fix them
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reported issues with [[obsidian embeds]]
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[[work]]
- review doc 1 :)
- review doc 2
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[[ladee]]
- [[sound education]]
- [[tinnitus]]
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[[agora]]
- [[agora protocol]]
2022-08-10
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[[Food]]
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[[Climate fiction]]
- Listened: [[GND Summer Book club]]
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The Texas McCombs Salem Center in [[Austin]], [[Texas]] is attracting potential economists regardless of their qualifications through a [[forecasting]] [[tournament]] hosted on [[Manifold Markets]].
- Richard [[Hanania]], the [[policy]] researcher, is strongly associated with the Salem Center and this forecasting initiative.
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For the question 'US GDP Growth 1% or More in 2022 Q3':
collapsed:: true
- Checked quarterly sales of [[Amazon]] and [[Walmart]].
- Checked previous quarterly [[GDP]] [[growth]] in the United States for the last twenty one years.
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Input 'how do [[purchasing]] [[habits]] change when gdp decreases?' in [[Elicit]], the GPT-powered [[research]] assistant.
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'How Economic [[Contraction]]s and [[Expansion]]s Affect Expenditure Patterns' seemed like the paper most immediately relevant, with 116 citations at the time of search.
- Household spending during [[recession]] is typically tracked with an [[Engel curve]].
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How is [[spending]] on positional goods, or goods that are used to signal [[status]] in a [[hierarchy]], stay the same during [[expansion]] and [[contraction]] of the things made by a group?
- [[Adam Smith]] pointed out that women in England seemed more likely to feel [[shame]] at not having nicer dresses than women in Scotland.
- Along with having better quality of [[life]], it was suggested that people spend [[money]] to show that they have made themselves higher on the social [[hierarchy]].
- While people with more [[money]] within a nation reported being happier than people with less, people who made less money in other nations were still [[happy]]- so long as they had more money than their [[peers]].
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Relatively less [[power]] increases [[spending]] to keep [[status]] up.
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People often use [[debt]] to [[pay]] for things that they can use to show that they have the [[status]] they want.
- [[Schor]] says that as people spent more time watching [[television]], they started trying to keep up with the upper middle class and [[rich]] lifestyles they saw on the television, instead of their [[neighbors]]. collapsed:: true
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People often use [[debt]] to [[pay]] for things that they can use to show that they have the [[status]] they want.
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Checked [[Google]] [[trends]] for a particular Rivian model, Samsung Watch, Toyota RAV4, H&M, GQ, Wirecutter, 'food near me', 'pizza near me', and 'sushi near me'. Assuming trends in search may reflect trends in purchasing.
collapsed:: true
- The movement of the lines did not indicate dropping interest in anywhere except 'sushi near me'.
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https://www.autoweek.com/news/industry-news/a40558214/2022-first-half-tesla-sales-up-46-percent-globally/
collapsed:: true
- While Tesla [[sales]] were up globally, they were down in the United States. Sales were also down for Ford, VW, Audi, and Porsche.
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Checked Signet Jeweler's revenue. They report a 26.9% increase in comparison to last year.
collapsed:: true
- Writer does not say why or how the jewelry [[market]] will decrease, other than assuming a repeat of the 2007 recession and the corresponding crash in jewelry sales: https://www.forbes.com/sites/pamdanziger/2022/03/21/jewelry-market-must-prepare-for-a-steep-drop-but-signet-jewelers-is-ready/?sh=38ddd03c330f
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'How Economic [[Contraction]]s and [[Expansion]]s Affect Expenditure Patterns' seemed like the paper most immediately relevant, with 116 citations at the time of search.
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For the question [['Will [[Russia]] control [[Kherson]] on 10/31/22']]:
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Searched 'Π₯Π΅ΡΡΠΎΜΠ½' on Twitter and read latest tweets.
- Stray comments suggest that the population is not as sympathetic to Russian occupation as the population is in the [[Donbass]].
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Searched 'Π₯Π΅ΡΡΠΎΜΠ½' on Twitter and read latest tweets.
π stoas
- public document at doc.anagora.org/2022-08-10
- video call at meet.jit.si/2022-08-10
β₯± context
β pushing here
(none)
(none)
β pulling this
(none)
(none)
β forward
will [[russia
adam smith
agora
agora protocol
amazon
austin
cars
climate fiction
clothing
contraction
debt
donbass
elicit
engel curve
expansion
food
forecasting
gdp
gnd summer book club
google
growth
habits
hanania
happy
hierarchy
houses
jewelry
kherson
ladee
life
manifold markets
market
money
neighbors
obsidian embeds
pay
peers
policy
power
purchasing
recession
research
restaurants
rich
rob haisfield
sales
schor
shame
sound education
spending
status
television
texas
the future of food how to achieve radical change with george monbiot
tinnitus
tournament
trends
walmart
work
will [[russia
adam smith
agora
agora protocol
amazon
austin
cars
climate fiction
clothing
contraction
debt
donbass
elicit
engel curve
expansion
food
forecasting
gdp
gnd summer book club
growth
habits
hanania
happy
hierarchy
houses
jewelry
kherson
ladee
life
manifold markets
market
money
neighbors
obsidian embeds
pay
peers
policy
power
purchasing
recession
research
restaurants
rich
rob haisfield
sales
schor
shame
sound education
spending
status
television
texas
the future of food how to achieve radical change with george monbiot
tinnitus
tournament
trends
walmart
work
π full text search for '2022 08 10'